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Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel (Wiley Finance), by John Charnes
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Praise for
Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball(r) and Excel(r)
"Professor Charnes's book drives clarity into applied Monte Carlo analysis using examples and tools relevant to real-world finance. The book will prove useful for analysts of all levels and as a supplement to academic courses in multiple disciplines."
-Mark Odermann, Senior Financial Analyst, Microsoft
"Think you really know financial modeling? This is a must-have for power Excel users. Professor Charnes shows how to make more realistic models that result in fewer surprises. Every analyst needs this credibility booster."
-James Franklin, CEO, Decisioneering, Inc.
"This book packs a first-year MBA's worth of financial and business modeling education into a few dozen easy-to-understand examples. Crystal Ball software does the housekeeping, so readers can concentrate on the business decision. A careful reader who works the examples on a computer will master the best general-purpose technology available for working with uncertainty."
-Aaron Brown, Executive Director, Morgan Stanley, author of The Poker Face of Wall Street
"Using Crystal Ball and Excel, John Charnes takes you step by step, demonstrating a conceptual framework that turns static Excel data and financial models into true risk models. I am astonished by the clarity of the text and the hands-on, step-by-step examples using Crystal Ball and Excel; Professor Charnes is a masterful teacher, and this is an absolute gem of a book for the new generation of analyst."
-Brian Watt, Chief Operating Officer, GECC, Inc.
"Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel is a comprehensive, well-written guide to one of the most useful analysis tools available to professional risk managers and quantitative analysts. This is a must-have book for anyone using Crystal Ball, and anyone wanting an overview of basic risk management concepts."
-Paul Dietz, Manager, Quantitative Analysis, Westar Energy
"John Charnes presents an insightful exploration of techniques for analysis and understanding of risk and uncertainty in business cases. By application of real options theory and Monte Carlo simulation to planning, doors are opened to analysis of what used to be impossible, such as modeling the value today of future project choices."
-Bruce Wallace, Nortel
- Sales Rank: #1774110 in Books
- Brand: Brand: Wiley
- Published on: 2007-03-30
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.27" h x .59" w x 7.56" l, 1.10 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 290 pages
- Used Book in Good Condition
From the Back Cover
Praise for
Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball® and Excel®
"Professor Charnes's book drives clarity into applied Monte Carlo analysis using examples and tools relevant to real-world finance. The book will prove useful for analysts of all levels and as a supplement to academic courses in multiple disciplines."
—Mark Odermann, Senior Financial Analyst, Microsoft
"Think you really know financial modeling? This is a must-have for power Excel users. Professor Charnes shows how to make more realistic models that result in fewer surprises. Every analyst needs this credibility booster."
—James Franklin, CEO, Decisioneering, Inc.
"This book packs a first-year MBA's worth of financial and business modeling education into a few dozen easy-to-understand examples. Crystal Ball software does the housekeeping, so readers can concentrate on the business decision. A careful reader who works the examples on a computer will master the best general-purpose technology available for working with uncertainty."
—Aaron Brown, Executive Director, Morgan Stanley, author of The Poker Face of Wall Street
"Using Crystal Ball and Excel, John Charnes takes you step by step, demonstrating a conceptual framework that turns static Excel data and financial models into true risk models. I am astonished by the clarity of the text and the hands-on, step-by-step examples using Crystal Ball and Excel; Professor Charnes is a masterful teacher, and this is an absolute gem of a book for the new generation of analyst."
—Brian Watt, Chief Operating Officer, GECC, Inc.
"Financial Modeling with Crystal Ball and Excel is a comprehensive, well-written guide to one of the most useful analysis tools available to professional risk managers and quantitative analysts. This is a must-have book for anyone using Crystal Ball, and anyone wanting an overview of basic risk management concepts."
—Paul Dietz, Manager, Quantitative Analysis, Westar Energy
"John Charnes presents an insightful exploration of techniques for analysis and understanding of risk and uncertainty in business cases. By application of real options theory and Monte Carlo simulation to planning, doors are opened to analysis of what used to be impossible, such as modeling the value today of future project choices."
—Bruce Wallace, Nortel
About the Author
Dr. John Charnes, PhD, MBA, is Professor, Scupin Faculty Fellow, and former director of the finance, economics, and decision sciences area in the University of Kansas School of Business. His specialty is the application of computer simulation and statistical methods for identifying and solving business problems, and his most current research involves using simulation for option pricing and hedging with derivatives to comply with Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) 133. Charnes has also performed research, consulting, and executive education for more than fifty corporations and other organizations.
Most helpful customer reviews
16 of 16 people found the following review helpful.
goes beyond deterministic assumptions
By W Boudville
The book is all about simulations. In financial modelling, as opposed to engineering or science. Readers from the latter 2 fields who have coded simulations will find much in common. The specific equations in the text for finance are largely different from what you've met before. But the basic treatment is essentially the same.
Typically, the text will describe some financial equation. The Crystal Ball program lets you easily generate random data as input to simulations, which it then runs.
Despite Excel in the book's title, the book is mostly about using Crystal Ball. Charnes shows how you can go well beyond a simple deterministic treatment of an income statement or balance sheet. Typically, most companies just use the deterministic approach. The danger is that this approach relies on certain assumptions. Using Crystal Ball and the book, you can test the effect of relaxing these assumptions on the balance sheet. A more robust approach to financial planning.
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
One reviewer for the first edition gave the book a ...
By Jake
One reviewer for the first edition gave the book a single star because ORACLE didn’t provide the promised textbook examples. I have the second edition. Whether ORACLE took note or the examples were too hard to find in the forest of resources at ORACLE I can’t say, but here’s the reference,
[...]
At the bottom of the page under < Crystal Ball Resource Files > you’ll see the examples
< Charnes Textbook Example Models (ZIP) >
0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
One reviewer for the first edition gave the book a ...
By Jake
One reviewer for the first edition gave the book a single star because ORACLE didn’t provide the promised textbook examples. Whether ORACLE took note or the examples were too hard to find in the forest of resources at ORACLE I can’t say, but here’s the reference,
[...]
At the bottom of the page under < Crystal Ball Resource Files > you’ll see the examples
< Charnes Textbook Example Models (ZIP) >
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